SlumGod

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $850
User PnL: -$10.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.16
Potential profit: $500.16
User PnL: -$81.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$84.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $195
User PnL: -$7.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177
Potential profit: $177
User PnL: -$5.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.49
Potential profit: $105.49
User PnL: -$24.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96
Potential profit: $96
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.26
Potential profit: $69.26
User PnL: -$17.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$18.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on January 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.91
Potential profit: $32.91
User PnL: -$15.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$6.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on January 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.52

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?