Polymarket Trader

samsmith123

0x9a01ba9cf95056d27acae30f5e81a48fe2856cff

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.31
Realized PnL: $720.75
Win rate: 92.9%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$187.62

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.60 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $930.46
Potential profit: $930.46
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $630.44
Potential profit: $630.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.80 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $473.52
Potential profit: $473.52
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $1.00 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $453.4
Potential profit: $453.4
User PnL: -$17.85

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $52.31
Potential payout: $418.44
Potential profit: $366.14
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$47.68

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.5
Potential profit: $386.5
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343.12
Potential profit: $343.12
User PnL: -$14.99

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.98
Potential profit: $303.98
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will France strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.46
Potential profit: $301.46
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.27
Potential profit: $270.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.11
Potential profit: $260.11
User PnL: -$12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.98
Potential profit: $249.98
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.29

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.24

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.14

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.07

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.83

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.05

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $47.24

Yes position

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.34

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.33

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 1.8% 638.6 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 1.4% 638.6 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Yes 31% 9.55 shares
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?

Yes 16% 1,172.63 shares
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on May 12?

Yes 3.2% 930.46 shares
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Yes 98.5% 61.47 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 93% 175.08 shares
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?

Yes 47.5% 61.47 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Yes 9% 111.11 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

Yes 16.5% 181.67 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?

Yes 6% 500 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 25.3% 237.36 shares