Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $28.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $271.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
karolkar
0x9a0d94a14aeea70a687425b23d680e2cd7686f03
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.25
- Realized PnL
- $354.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $48.75
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $201.25
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $23.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $186.31
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $29.94
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
No position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Polona Hercog position
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatsch
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will The Left (Levica) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No 13.7% 5 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No 26.8% 5 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.9% 1,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes 86.6% 12 shares
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes 86.6% 5 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?No 15% 60 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 61% 10 shares
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes 85.8% 8 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 61% 10 shares
- Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?Yes 85.6% 7.5 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 61% 10 shares