No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $101.76
- Potential payout
- $110.01
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.76
Polymarket Trader
0x9a1A817674663c73925Cac36B5214993048Eb251-1778890509627
0x9a1a817674663c73925cac36b5214993048eb251
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $217.02
- Realized PnL
- $960.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $33.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $18.48
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $27.05
- Potential payout
- $39.22
- Potential profit
- $12.16
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $7.05
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $17.66
- Potential payout
- $20.78
- Potential profit
- $3.12
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.42
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $10.33
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Tundra Esports position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.57
Team Falcons position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.82
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.2
No position
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.9
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.99
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.76
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.91
Aurora position
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.99
Burnley FC position
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.6
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
PlayTime position
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.19
Yes position
Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.04
No position
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 47% 50 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 96.3% 70.58 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 85% 70.59 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 38% 13.16 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 90.9% 110.01 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 95% 67.56 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 97.6% 107.52 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 77% 20.78 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 39.7% 42.4 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 63.7% 42.41 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 39% 11.08 shares