Polymarket Trader

0x9A2c18159c378f2ca28c06BBA343D1eD52b25822-1780195212576

0x9a2c18159c378f2ca28c06bba343d1ed52b25822

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.22
Realized PnL: $107.1
Win rate: 56.3%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $14.31
Potential payout: $715.68
Potential profit: $701.37
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.91

Yes position

Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.98
Potential profit: $60.98
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.1
Potential profit: $59.1
User PnL: -$38

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $52.19
Potential payout: $52.75
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $4.19

Germany position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $46.15
User PnL: -$30

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.16
Potential profit: $44.16
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 45.1%
Current value: $18.69
Potential payout: $41.49
Potential profit: $22.8
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$1.31

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.88
Potential profit: $37.88
User PnL: -$25

Netherlands position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.18
Potential profit: $36.18
User PnL: -$18.09

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $33.56
Potential profit: $31.53
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$2.97

Over position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $32.47
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.57
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.13
Potential profit: $30.13
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $30.12
Potential profit: $27.09
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.78
Potential profit: $24.78
User PnL: -$13.38

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $21.43
User PnL: -$3

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-4.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.2
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ledger IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $13.13
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $8.23
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Discord IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.1%
Current value: $4.72
Potential payout: $8.42
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 1.78x
User PnL: -$0.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $43.41

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.45

John position

The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddy

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.55

Colorado Rockies position

Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

No position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $6.86

Yes position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.8%
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $2.63

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$6.72

Uruguay position

Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 91% 52.75 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Yes 48.2% 41.49 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 16% 51.72 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 73% 60.82 shares
Kash Patel out by December 31?

No 57% 70.72 shares
Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 3.1% 389.38 shares
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Yes 53.6% 32.89 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Netherlands 50% 36.18 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 41% 60.98 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 65% 46.15 shares
Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 0.6% 326.31 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Brazil 43% 46.51 shares