No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.94
Polymarket Trader
irene4412
0x9a33364293737d703d011033614a6a207fe7081d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20
- Realized PnL
- -$2.6
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.04
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 23?No 95.3% 20 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 9.6% 35 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?No 97.7% 21 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 3.3% 59 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 3.3% 30.99 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 96.7% 19 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 98.6% 21 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 92.6% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 90.1% 22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 3.6% 47 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 97.3% 19 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 4.4% 36 shares