Polymarket Trader

Rex416

0x9a3fa403a6666eef75f92f181fcf13f9c051914a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.3K
Realized PnL: $247.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$447.93

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $17.32K
Multiplier: 7.46x
User PnL: -$1.07K

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $19.95K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $14.98K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $22.5
User PnL: $598.59

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$248.85

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $371.7
Potential payout: $10.5K
Potential profit: $10.13K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$26.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.96K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $22.76K

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.29K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25K

Yes position

Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.49K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53K

Yes position

Will another team win Jynxzi's Rocket League tournament?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.47K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11K

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77K

No position

Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57K

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.36K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.22K

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.98K

Yes position

Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95K

Yes position

Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6K

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56K

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Everett Wess be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Yes 99.8% 63.06 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 89.8% 400.1 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

No 92% 250 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?

No 88% 217.43 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 87% 1,000 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Yes 87% 500 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 70% 104.56 shares
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in June?

Yes 96.6% 43.05 shares
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 73% 147.6 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 78.1% 1,000 shares
Will Trump say "Star" this week?

No 98.7% 40 shares
Will Trump say "Star" this week?

No 99% 608.6 shares