Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $13.28K
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$375
Polymarket Trader
Winninghumbly
0x9a4a4764d10916b32040f5c145e61e98ccb5170f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.35K
- Realized PnL
- $52.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $132.45
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $40.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59K
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?
Ends Dec 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?
Ends Nov 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 91% 10,198.47 shares
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes 92% 1,822.85 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 22,690 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 99.5% 10,670.77 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 96.9% 1,962.94 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 27,750 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 2,005.66 shares
- Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 96% 57.75 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.4% 1,170.89 shares
- Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?Yes 98.8% 91 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 97% 170 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 98.4% 5,150 shares