Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
zxzad
@xzz89460065
0x9a56936615b166003e8dc2abb471562177094c5d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.21
- Realized PnL
- $72.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 9?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.78
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.6
- Potential profit
- $197.6
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $42.86
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.34
- Potential profit
- $33.34
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 9?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 10?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.25
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.67
- Potential profit
- $21.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 12?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Unitree Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,400 on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.31
- Potential profit
- $19.31
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.22
- Potential profit
- $17.22
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 23?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.49
- Potential profit
- $14.49
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $12.55
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.44
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $12.05
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 9?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.43
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 9?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 12?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 12?
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 23?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $1.35
FC Midtjylland position
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 28?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Solana reach $190 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
76ers position
76ers vs. Nets
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Heat position
Bucks vs. Heat
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Thunder position
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 10.53 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 33% 9.09 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 14% 7.14 shares
- Will Trump say "Ukraine" during meeting with French President?No 50% 4 shares
- Will Trump say "Fake News" during meeting with French President?No 85% 2.35 shares
- Will Trump say "Peace" during meeting with French President?No 79% 2.53 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during meeting with French President?No 75% 2.67 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No 20% 5 shares