Polymarket Trader

Winner78

0x9a664cef51fcf89f381cfaa7ccca7bb5093b9bc0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.51K
Realized PnL: $3.37K
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.84K
Potential profit: $54.84K
User PnL: -$4.68K

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $3.15K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $26.85K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$415.93

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.55K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $27.45K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$600.95

Yes position

Will someone else be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.54K
Potential profit: $21.54K
User PnL: -$144.29

No position

US inauguration on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.33K
Potential profit: $21.33K
User PnL: -$346.92

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14K
Potential profit: $16.14K
User PnL: -$1.01K

No position

Will Putin remain President of Russia through June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.82K
Potential profit: $11.82K
User PnL: -$478.97

Yes position

Will the AFD be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.04K
Potential profit: $11.04K
User PnL: -$661.1

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.05K
Potential profit: $10.05K
User PnL: -$462.45

Yes position

Erdoğan out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.8K
Potential profit: $9.8K
User PnL: -$1.01K

Yes position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $684.19
Potential payout: $7.2K
Potential profit: $6.52K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$108.03

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $23.55
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $6.7K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$89.6

Yes position

Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.83K
Potential profit: $5.83K
User PnL: -$142.61

Yes position

Russia coup attempt in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.92K
Potential profit: $4.92K
User PnL: -$135.46

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $455.05
Potential payout: $4.79K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$119.85

Yes position

Was Trump hacked?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.39K
Potential profit: $4.39K
User PnL: -$64.99

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.26K
Potential profit: $4.26K
User PnL: -$30.54

Yes position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $374.33
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $117.85

Yes position

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $195
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.8K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$58.68

No position

Germany confidence vote in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$49.59

Yes position

Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.61K
User PnL: -$323.9

No position

Election certified on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $2.45K
User PnL: -$28.63

No position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$10.81

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $81.65
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.93K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$8.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94K

No position

Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $255.62

Yes position

Will Usyk beat Fury?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.81

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.62

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $46.16

Yes position

Trump cabinet member out before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.43

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the Greens be part of the next German government?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Trump out as President in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.06K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 195 shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 15 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 31.76 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 31 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 13% 10 shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 200 shares
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Yes 0.7% 105 shares
Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8% 13 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.5% 19 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 11% 47.35 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 11% 659.49 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.3% 55.18 shares