Polymarket Trader

maora

0x9a67e1f53bb4c0ceab79489c6ef637cc9185af26

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.05K
Realized PnL: $1.35K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $431.74
Potential payout: $546.51
Potential profit: $114.77
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $80.94

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.8%
Current value: $338.63
Potential payout: $514.63
Potential profit: $176
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $1.31

No position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $425.54
Potential payout: $503.6
Potential profit: $78.06
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $73.4

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $331.36
Potential payout: $368.17
Potential profit: $36.82
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $49.35

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $237.95
Potential payout: $323.74
Potential profit: $85.79
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $7.95

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $6.29
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $316.29
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$3.71

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $125.17
Potential payout: $140.64
Potential profit: $15.47
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $21.91

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $114.99
Potential payout: $124.31
Potential profit: $9.32
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $14.99

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $6.53
Potential payout: $115.66
Potential profit: $109.13
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$3.07

Microsoft position

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $20.32
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $44.19
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $11.05
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $6.49
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Pacers position

Hawks vs. Pacers

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.37

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.24

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.4

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $82.12

No position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.74

No position

S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.92

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.73

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.9

Yes position

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.48

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $42.15

No position

Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $39.1

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $35.89

Under position

Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.81

Under position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.46

No position

Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.28

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.13

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $33.83

No position

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.26

Under position

AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.86

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.07

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.73

Under position

Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.16

Under position

Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Microsoft 31% 64.52 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

No 90% 23.5 shares
Panama vs. England: O/U 4.5

Under 79% 12.66 shares
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

No 57% 17.54 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5

Under 96.3% 0.09 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5

Under 95.1% 22 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5

Under 67.9% 22.09 shares
Norway vs. France: O/U 1.5

Under 4% 250 shares
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5

Under 66% 13.88 shares
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5

Under 72% 13.89 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 6.5

Under 83.9% 29.8 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5

Under 63% 15.87 shares