Polymarket Trader

0x9A6931060fd1c930451ADbD3013d893e2eDAC2A0-1779488106546

0x9a6931060fd1c930451adbd3013d893e2edac2a0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $963.51
Realized PnL: $67.25
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $489.55
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$114.46

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $636.22
Potential profit: $635.27
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$14.04

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 73.4%
Current value: $443.3
Potential payout: $603.95
Potential profit: $160.65
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $175.14

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $499.26
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $19.62
Potential payout: $186.86
Potential profit: $167.24
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$7.38

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $151.92
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $131.4
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $92.6
Potential profit: $88.38
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.05
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.22
Potential profit: $78.22
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $75.84
Potential profit: $75.69
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.34
Potential profit: $11.34
User PnL: -$5

No position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.23
Potential profit: $4.23
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 26?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 53.33 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.1% 416.67 shares
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.2% 133.52 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 92.59 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.4% 416.67 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 133.33 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

No 85.9% 45.45 shares
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 4.1% 290.83 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 27% 44.4 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 333.33 shares