Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0x9a6ec62F9162d3B4202325a29b3F6Ab95E4a287D-1769308612603
0x9a6ec62f9162d3b4202325a29b3f6ab95e4a287d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.81
- Realized PnL
- $215.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.12
- Potential profit
- $137.12
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $117.65
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Over position
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $111
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.83
- Potential profit
- $100.83
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Over position
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$2
Spirit position
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$17
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.99
- Potential profit
- $56.99
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will PARIVISION win IEM Krakow 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $23.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $16.6
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $11.21
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $18.8
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.4%
- Current value
- $11.21
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $18.8
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $0.29
EDward Gaming position
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$8.69
EDward Gaming position
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$5.6
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Team Spirit win IEM Krakow 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.84
- Potential profit
- $20.84
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
FURIA position
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.09
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.62
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.39
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.57x
- User PnL
- $13.75
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.45
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.16
Yes position
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.62
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
No position
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Team Vitality win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
PARIVISION position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winner
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5 AND Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs27% 10.7 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 52% 10 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes 17% 20 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 59.99 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 32.8% 30 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 59.99 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.8% 110 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.3% 10 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 64% 12.1 shares
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming 44.9% 10 shares
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs 9z (+3.5)FURIA 99% 40.3 shares
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs9z 47% 9.99 shares