Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $57.91
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$30.65
Polymarket Trader
JohnFollows
0x9a81f13da76383d127e3a965f904155d81d49070
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $286.29
- Realized PnL
- $1.56K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
American League position
MLB All-Star Game
Ends Jul 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $50.33
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $4.67
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $25.58
No position
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $24.74
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $26.27
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $27
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
No position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $26.03
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $11.97
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Under position
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $23.94
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $12.06
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $26.83
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $26.62
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$13.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $23.6
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $20.35
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.55
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $17.76
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.99
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $13.94
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.04
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $9.76
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.66
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.03
Under position
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.94
Daniel Altmaier position
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.81
No position
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.11
Valentin Vacherot position
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.55
No position
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.44
Under position
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.62
Under position
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.41
BetBoom Team position
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.55
No position
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.5
Titouan Droguet position
Bucharest Open: Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguet
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.28
Under position
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.33
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.1
Michigan Wolverines position
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.96
No position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.47
Under position
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.85
Flames position
Flames vs. Ducks
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.35
Heroic position
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffs
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.28
Yes position
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.74
Nuno Borges position
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.84
Paraguay position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.78
No position
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.39
No position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No 99.8% 9 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 91% 28 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 61% 26 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 95.2% 20 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 68% 1 shares
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5Over 89% 15 shares
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No 99.2% 6 shares
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Sevilla FC 78% 8 shares
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?No 59% 7 shares
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No 99.2% 13 shares
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?No 95% 10 shares