Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
Alexi25
0x9a850207783df9727192756d4a92ea6e779e70f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.09
- Realized PnL
- $390.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in July 2026?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $360
- Potential profit
- $360
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $79.99
- User PnL
- -$9.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.4
- Potential profit
- $68.4
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.14
- Potential profit
- $67.14
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.96
- Potential profit
- $51.96
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.99
- Potential profit
- $45.99
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.28
- Potential payout
- $43.74
- Potential profit
- $43.45
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $43
- User PnL
- -$5.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $43
- User PnL
- -$5.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43
- Potential profit
- $43
- User PnL
- -$5.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $2.29
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $34.71
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $37
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.13
- Potential profit
- $32.13
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $31.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.79
- Potential profit
- $31.79
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.04
- Potential profit
- $30.04
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $47.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?No 28% 16.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?No 35% 13.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?Yes 16% 19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?Yes 13% 18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 18?Yes 2.3% 43.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 17?Yes 5.1% 20.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 17?Yes 14% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?No 40% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?Yes 14% 37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 17?Yes 5.7% 17.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 17?No 40% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 17?Yes 32.4% 20 shares