Polymarket Trader

RedcrossX

0x9a920a8dfedc5b7af9c1facfc90c1e438b82a9f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $591.78
Realized PnL: $1.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.49K
Potential profit: $3.49K
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$125.17

Yes position

Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $970.03
Potential profit: $970.03
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Tanzania win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $728.22
Potential profit: $728.22
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $591.78
Potential payout: $591.78
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $416.78

Yes position

Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $565.12
Potential profit: $565.12
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $409.18
Potential profit: $409.18
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.64
Potential profit: $214.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.5
Potential profit: $213.5
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$62

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $193.2
Potential profit: $193.2
User PnL: -$98.53

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.49
Potential profit: $169.49
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.37
Potential profit: $167.37
User PnL: -$9.32

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$100

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 24?

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$19.32

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.58
Potential profit: $143.58
User PnL: -$99.07

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.63

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.98

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.66

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?

Ends Aug 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.14

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.68

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.43

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-17?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.69

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.11

Yes position

Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 17?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.11

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.71

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.7

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30?

Ends Aug 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.21

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2025-10-10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.07

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.37

Yes position

Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.24

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.67

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.15

Yes position

Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.9

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.81

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-27?

Ends Sep 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.12

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-01?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 14% 214.29 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 17% 117.65 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 29.1% 85.97 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 29.7% 505.81 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Yes 12.5% 80 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Yes 9% 555.4 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 2,858.03 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?

Yes 51% 193.2 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?

Yes 69% 143.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Up 44% 21.81 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Down 94% 31.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Down 97% 102.87 shares