Polymarket Trader

Shimshon41

0x9acc910c6cbb5e1fb5d6599240893af5b9773479

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $12.62K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$3.65K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
User PnL: -$1.72K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$460.19

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $582.62
Potential profit: $582.62
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $453.72
Potential profit: $453.72
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.79
Potential profit: $227.79
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: $0

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.52
Potential profit: $46.52
User PnL: $0

Switzerland position

Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16K

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03K

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71K

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $698.63

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $578.57

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.78

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $258.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.88

Yes position

Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.49

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.71

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.47

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.12

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 15+ times during Monday news conference?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.22

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Yes 47% 21.28 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Switzerland 64% 31.25 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 54% 185.19 shares
Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

Mexico 43% 46.52 shares
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Mexico 40% 50 shares
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

No 64% 78.13 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 75% 175.6 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

No 41% 175.61 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 59% 128.12 shares