Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $7.3K
- Potential profit
- $7.28K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$592.01
Polymarket Trader
PaddyAlpha
@SRank395216
0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.77K
- Realized PnL
- $57.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Chirayu Rana divorced?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $22.09
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $6.29K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$120.06
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $390.12
- Potential payout
- $5.2K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$339.35
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.94K
- Potential profit
- $4.94K
- User PnL
- -$111.64
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.59K
- Potential profit
- $4.59K
- User PnL
- -$152.73
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $4.47K
- User PnL
- -$132.22
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $330.39
- Potential payout
- $4.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- -$33.4
Yes position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- User PnL
- -$95.48
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $3.89K
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $315.05
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $142.78
Yes position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $4.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $20.95
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $10.99
- Potential payout
- $3.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$46.29
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $534.51
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$446.3
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $43.14
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$249.92
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $3.1K
- User PnL
- -$83.81
Yes position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- User PnL
- -$15.26
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $711.13
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$491.27
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $160.05
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.75K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$788.54
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $36.36
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.87K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.31
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $271.3
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$85.53
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $40.65
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$50.47
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $15.29
- Potential payout
- $2.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$23.53
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $135.43
- Potential payout
- $2.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.57K
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$472.42
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $102.58
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$40.56
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $11.68
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$105.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1 AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11 PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
No position
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10 PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 6% 496.62 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 6% 84.06 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 265 shares
- Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?No 93% 83.53 shares
- Will Andy Burnham finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99% 5.45 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 63% 107 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.2% 79.34 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 30 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 62% 122.72 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 51% 105 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 77% 115.56 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 78% 515.7 shares