Polymarket Trader

Iceflames

@davee_is_him

0x9af887a9b6c1c82aa81bf14339a614e6ee76b069

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.28
Realized PnL: $431.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will James Harden win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $292.28
Potential profit: $292.28
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267
Potential profit: $267
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.04
Potential profit: $140.04
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $107.14
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$8.4

Curaçao position

Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.02
Potential profit: $71.02
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.72
Potential profit: $58.72
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.38
Potential profit: $44.38
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $36.78
Potential profit: $35.95
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $31.94
Potential profit: $31.72
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.15
Potential profit: $30.15
User PnL: -$4.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.02
Potential profit: $23.02
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.01
Potential profit: $23.01
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $17.52
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.97
Potential profit: $20.97
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $20.94
Potential profit: $19.68
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.26

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.33

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.62

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.06

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.24

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.23

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?

Yes 15.2% 41.9 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 84% 10.08 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 21?

Yes 7.4% 31.94 shares
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)

Curaçao 1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 3.1% 36.78 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?

Yes 8.7% 41.9 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 7% 21.5 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 10% 20.94 shares
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 49.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 15.5% 12.94 shares
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 8% 9.7 shares