Polymarket Trader

ArN1777

0x9b079b5511f57d485a104dfba732ebb14693a937

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.76
Realized PnL: $95.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.34
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$0.34

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $30.01
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $19.25
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.94
Multiplier: 18.87x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.89
Potential profit: $12.89
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $10.06
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.2

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.7

No position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $9.84
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $6.99
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$0.05

Over position

Argentina vs. Austria: Austria O/U 4.5 Corners

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $3.82
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.57

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1.95

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.68
Potential payout: $3.47
Potential profit: $1.79
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.88

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Yes 76% 2.2 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 95% 5.22 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?

Yes 4.7% 10 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 41% 4.76 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Yes 6% 6.99 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 87% 15 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 95% 10 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?

Yes 17% 20 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?

Yes 15% 5 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

Yes 8% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 48% 5.08 shares
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Yes 99.9% 5 shares