Polymarket Trader

0x9b11...4f6c

0x9b115f3a8e3608b9305a3f81711ec7a8c7ec4f6c

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $10.49
Realized PnL: $4.92
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $42.12
Potential profit: $38.96
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.56

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $9.63
Potential profit: $7.67
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $7.87
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $5.21
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: $0.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $4.89

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

No 20% 50.78 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 21% 18.21 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 6% 10 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 28% 5 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

No 10% 11.05 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 9.6% 10.42 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

No 10% 10.53 shares
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 10% 10.53 shares
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 10% 10.53 shares
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 10% 10.53 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 36% 5 shares