Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $213.25
- Potential payout
- $240.96
- Potential profit
- $27.71
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $13.25
Polymarket Trader
BeRaLe
0x9b1b55fb15402c9246bef3f643509aeb4bea6d06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $242.99
- Realized PnL
- $99.49
- Win rate
- 78.6%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $20.1
- Potential payout
- $29.35
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$6.9
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $15.06
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$10.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $40.74
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.51
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.59
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $8.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$10.59
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$14.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 92% 29.35 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 83% 240.96 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 96.8% 228.03 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 81% 24.69 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 38% 41.09 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 26% 48.07 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 73% 41.1 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 52% 48.08 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 98.5% 48.78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 89.2% 112.11 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16% 58.82 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 82% 48.78 shares