Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $268.57
- Potential payout
- $502.01
- Potential profit
- $233.43
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $14.28
Polymarket Trader
Anonnnn2409
0x9b22f05eab284c3379ef2576019739e32a273a92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.75K
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $394.38
- Potential payout
- $445.63
- Potential profit
- $51.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $42.37
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $8.4
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $231.6
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$22.8
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $235.65
- Potential profit
- $230.6
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $163.46
- Potential payout
- $210.91
- Potential profit
- $47.46
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $13.4
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $109.56
- Potential payout
- $210.68
- Potential profit
- $101.13
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $8.62
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $198.64
- Potential profit
- $195.16
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $198
- Potential profit
- $195.62
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $140.25
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $8.25
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $36.12
- Potential payout
- $164.54
- Potential profit
- $128.42
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- -$9.64
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $36.91
- Potential payout
- $153.79
- Potential profit
- $116.88
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $132.35
- Potential payout
- $147.88
- Potential profit
- $15.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $36.18
- Potential payout
- $141.88
- Potential profit
- $105.7
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$10.66
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $31.97
- Potential payout
- $139
- Potential profit
- $107.03
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$9.12
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $22.95
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $112.05
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $75.25
- Potential payout
- $134.37
- Potential profit
- $59.12
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $38.34
- Potential payout
- $129.96
- Potential profit
- $91.62
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $111.38
- Potential payout
- $124.44
- Potential profit
- $13.07
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.31
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $34.19
- Potential payout
- $120.01
- Potential profit
- $85.82
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$13.13
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $13.8
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $106.2
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $14.65
- Potential payout
- $119.58
- Potential profit
- $104.94
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $118
- Potential profit
- $117.71
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $90.1
- Potential payout
- $106
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $96.52
- Potential payout
- $105.49
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.27
No position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.76
Yes position
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.94
Yes position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.84
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.81
Yes position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnie by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.31
Yes position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.39
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.27
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.72
Under position
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.05
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.47
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.15
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.22
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.84
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.15
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.2
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.03
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.58
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.34
No position
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $29.27
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.09
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?Yes 22% 66.44 shares
- Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?Yes 41% 0.08 shares
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?No 56% 4.57 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 13% 10 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 16.7% 59.7 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes 69% 9.8 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?Yes 4% 30 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 45% 4.84 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No 89% 19.33 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 40% 6.78 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 22% 10 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 28% 15 shares