Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $145.16
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $855.96
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$235.26
Polymarket Trader
0x9b36...4fef
0x9b366af545a6a40f21f3656a768a3aa4d3b94fef
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $145.16
- Realized PnL
- $581.21
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $366.77
- Potential profit
- $366.77
- User PnL
- -$172.71
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $258.38
- Potential profit
- $258.38
- User PnL
- -$110.71
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.89
- Potential profit
- $217.89
- User PnL
- -$98.05
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.35
- Potential profit
- $170.35
- User PnL
- -$115.84
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.8
- Potential profit
- $76.8
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.09
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.99
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.29
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.49
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.13
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.83
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.44
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.2% 128.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 77% 128.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 22% 347.59 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 41.9% 178.21 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 26% 226.65 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 68% 170.35 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?Yes 81.7% 177.28 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 60% 326.83 shares
- US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 56.3% 246.78 shares
- US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 59.6% 246.79 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 99.6% 226.26 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.5% 267.39 shares