Polymarket Trader

uriah

0x9b3ab41646e8b1e2343a82f5ee866f94913db9e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $677.83
Realized PnL: $1.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $107.1
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $33.6

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $121.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $378.5
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$86

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $49.97
Potential payout: $256.27
Potential profit: $206.3
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $77.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $72.75
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $15.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $149.78
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $23.78

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $96.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $15.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $84.55
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $20.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.35
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.53
Potential profit: $58.53
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$46.5

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$20.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.9
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$42.4

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$32.8

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$5.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$17.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.5
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $845.48

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.1

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.2

No position

Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.05

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Solana all time high in Q4?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.99

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.4

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.92

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?

No 84% 87 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 4.4% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 21?

No 94.7% 583.45 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Yes 81% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 20?

Yes 20% 9.59 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?

Yes 39% 7.76 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?

Yes 39.4% 8.73 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 17?

Yes 14% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 16?

No 89% 79.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 16?

No 90.9% 188.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?

Yes 38% 9.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?

Yes 0.7% 19.86 shares