Yes position
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Potatoesaredelicious
0x9b59d41a2b63ca4807d1bb23c2178e603e1a4ef3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.68
- Realized PnL
- $27.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Victim" during the next PMQ?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $11.93
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
No position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Khamenei" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes 90% 1.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?No 98.4% 1.08 shares
- Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?Yes 9% 12.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?Yes 0.1% 5.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?Yes 84.2% 5.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?No 99.8% 4.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?No 95.6% 4.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?Yes 99.8% 3.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?Yes 99.2% 3.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 72% 4.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?Yes 96% 3.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?No 21% 5 shares