Yes position
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $897.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.88
Polymarket Trader
ernolst
0x9b6161280e03891e851382bf0a9f53845bee606f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $748.22
- Realized PnL
- -$64.61
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $456.92
- Potential payout
- $483.52
- Potential profit
- $26.59
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $29.74
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $144.1
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $75.9
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $45.1
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $127.21
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $19.85
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $27.21
Yes position
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $8.35
- Potential payout
- $38.82
- Potential profit
- $30.48
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.3%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $25.13
- Multiplier
- 6.15x
- User PnL
- -$5.65
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$64.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 45% 220 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 68% 147.06 shares
- Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 1.6% 63 shares
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes 34% 8.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETDown 99% 1.01 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 35.1% 30 shares
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes 36% 30 shares
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes 89% 224.64 shares
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes 88% 420 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 36% 179.5 shares