Polymarket Trader

Besthold1

0x9b74a9a090beaab56f1885c96bc3e9713bd24f15

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28
Realized PnL: $35.89
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318.28
Potential profit: $318.28
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $75.88
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $15.63
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $44.37
Multiplier: 3.84x
User PnL: $12.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.88
Potential profit: $50.88
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $7.7
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $28.02
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.61
Potential profit: $35.61
User PnL: -$4.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $32.28
Potential profit: $29.57
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.45
Potential profit: $27.45
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.16
Potential profit: $26.16
User PnL: -$4.97

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.03
Potential profit: $25.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Solana reach $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $21.81
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$1.08

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.33

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 32.28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 18.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 15% 18.6 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 7% 28.57 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Yes 9% 15.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 5% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 56% 16.66 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Up 2% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Up 20% 5 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 19% 10.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Up 11% 9.09 shares