Polymarket Trader

yieldfarmer

0x9b853977cd5fd900573022deae4c9d5d82e1cd3a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.58K
Realized PnL: $29.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $8K
User PnL: -$2.8K

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$4.69K

No position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.6K
Potential profit: $5.6K
User PnL: -$336.26

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $5.06K
Potential profit: $3.14K
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $80.13

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.69K
User PnL: -$3.88K

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $3.18K
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$975.14

No position

USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.2K
Potential profit: $4.2K
User PnL: -$2.05K

No position

Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.38K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?

Ends Aug 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$1K

No position

Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$1.27K

No position

Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $634.14
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $71.06

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$80

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $640
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.36K
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: -$660

No position

Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$460

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.97
User PnL: -$259.99

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $141.48
Potential payout: $565.94
Potential profit: $424.45
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$96.21

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.98K

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

No position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.95K

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58.6%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $1.89K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $984.97

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $959.97

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $873.91

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.97

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $470.59

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.13

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.1

No position

Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.07

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.56

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.14

Yes position

Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.41

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

No position

Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.24

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Yes 81% 2.32 shares
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 64.3% 28.14 shares
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 46% 782.61 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

No 47% 1,063.83 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 50% 2,000 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 55% 2,674.55 shares
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

No 20.6% 58.03 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 62% 110 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 71% 2,009.86 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 71% 160.56 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 71% 338.03 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 71% 338.03 shares