No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $509.07
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $20.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$15.36
Polymarket Trader
Toporceanu
0x9b8741e0e1c4a753f14a2142369c710cf239a20a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $872.6
- Realized PnL
- $4.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $289.8
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.77
- Potential profit
- $184.77
- User PnL
- -$183.04
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.42
- Potential profit
- $108.42
- User PnL
- -$103
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $73.74
- Potential payout
- $93.34
- Potential profit
- $19.6
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$18.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.39
- Potential profit
- $21.39
- User PnL
- -$20.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.3
- Potential profit
- $20.3
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.2
- Potential profit
- $20.2
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.13
- Potential profit
- $12.13
- User PnL
- -$12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $557.72
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $362.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.23
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $275.88
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.13
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.07
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.46
Yes position
Will inflation increase by 2.7% in November?
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.84
No position
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.27
Yes position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.2
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.05
Yes position
Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.57
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.22
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.29
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?No 99.3% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?No 99.3% 300 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?No 98.7% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?Yes 99.9% 140 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?No 99.2% 0.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?Yes 99% 17.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 22?Yes 98.5% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 21?Yes 99.9% 6.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 22?Yes 99% 191.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 22?No 98.9% 66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 21?No 99% 300 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 21?No 98.1% 52.86 shares