MaGNiFiCo-1976

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$23

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$23

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $985
Potential profit: $976.14
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$24.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $965.09
Potential profit: $965.09
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $923.81
Potential profit: $923.81
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $882.63
Potential profit: $882.63
User PnL: -$42.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $728.03
Potential profit: $728.03
User PnL: -$67.16

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $713.23
Potential profit: $705.02
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$21.8

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $649.27
Potential profit: $643.75
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$36.45

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $586.74
Potential profit: $586.74
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $563.08
Potential profit: $563.08
User PnL: -$23

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $460.62
Potential profit: $460.62
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $426.62
Potential profit: $423.63
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 23.1%
Current value: $91.16
Potential payout: $394.63
Potential profit: $303.47
Multiplier: 4.33x
User PnL: $52.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.67
Potential profit: $386.67
User PnL: -$27.84

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $18.65
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $365.96
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.74
Potential profit: $379.74
User PnL: -$14.43

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.98
Potential profit: $333.98
User PnL: -$24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.18

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.62

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.83

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.45

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.84

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.7

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.91

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.81

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.23

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.35

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.17

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.52

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET