Polymarket Trader

2013

0x9b8ce07c8be125a14a5b81c5d7c486f7c9a69856

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $285.53
Realized PnL: $29.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $265.87
Potential payout: $266.27
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $11.08
Potential payout: $11.18
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $8.68
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $5.81
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $11.05

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 266.27 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.1% 268.06 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.2% 279.23 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.7% 280.79 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.8% 289.47 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36% 58.47 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 12.09 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.7% 52.91 shares
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 229.46 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 229.68 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.9% 234.23 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 230.63 shares