Polymarket Trader

argostoteles

0x9b9ce77237ff04818e7085592bb971d668f2bdec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.74
Realized PnL: $6.43
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.78
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$2

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.24
Potential profit: $3.24
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$2

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Grok 4.20 released by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Grok 4.20 released by February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Too Late" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Will Trump say "Friend of Mine" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?

Yes 47% 2.13 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 34% 2.94 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Yes 12% 16.67 shares
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Grok 4.20 released by February 14?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?

Yes 53% 1.89 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 26% 4.16 shares
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?

Yes 65% 1.69 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Yes 4.4% 33.33 shares
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Yes 66% 3.07 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 10.2% 11.23 shares