Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.68K
- Potential profit
- $155.68K
- User PnL
- -$4.81K
Polymarket Trader
mumps
0x9bac9cc44f57fbd31a02f4fe08545ccdc8958684
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.13K
- Realized PnL
- $63.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.03K
- Potential profit
- $65.03K
- User PnL
- -$274.15
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $55.13K
- Potential payout
- $55.21K
- Potential profit
- $82.81
- User PnL
- $303.64
Yes position
Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.29K
- Potential profit
- $13.29K
- User PnL
- -$678.67
Yes position
Will egg prices be more than $6.25 in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.46K
- Potential profit
- $12.46K
- User PnL
- -$327.18
Yes position
Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.09K
- Potential profit
- $10.09K
- User PnL
- -$974.9
No position
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$398.68
Yes position
Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Yes position
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.69K
- Potential profit
- $5.69K
- User PnL
- -$549.88
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05–1.10ºC in July 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.49K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- User PnL
- -$515.83
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.91K
- Potential profit
- $3.91K
- User PnL
- -$706.21
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- User PnL
- -$7.77
Yes position
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross less than $16m opening weekend?
Ends Oct 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- User PnL
- -$285.49
No position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump before June?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.63K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$601.45
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$12.99
Yes position
Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Rupert Murdoch be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
US military intervention by Oct 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$89.05
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $840.66
- Potential profit
- $840.66
- User PnL
- -$42.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.16K
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06K
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31K
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52K
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.04K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $935.64
No position
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $775.44
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.9
Yes position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.43
Yes position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 157m and 167m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.32
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.93
Yes position
Will Adam Schiff get first place in the California Senate Primary?
Ends Feb 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.84
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.86
Yes position
Boeing emergency landing in US by Mar 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.09
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $285.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.3% 55,207.95 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 86% 950 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes 36.5% 11,045.53 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?Yes 65.9% 3,453.38 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 78.6% 3,719.86 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.9% 35,620.08 shares
- Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?Yes 0.3% 570.15 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 200 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes 99.7% 5,098.99 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes 98% 500 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes 97.8% 922.38 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes 98.6% 594.66 shares