Polymarket Trader

Sergosos

0x9bc43695487ae014e8f2a59fb31f5049f7284f77

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $823.11
Realized PnL: $2.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $374.63
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $651.75
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$94.96

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $711.69
Potential profit: $711.69
User PnL: -$263.24

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $58.23
Potential payout: $697.4
Potential profit: $639.17
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: $22.09

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $281.71
Potential profit: $281.71
User PnL: -$85.91

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 51.4%
Current value: $116.2
Potential payout: $226.29
Potential profit: $110.09
Multiplier: 1.95x
User PnL: $38.95

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.31
Potential profit: $176.31
User PnL: -$40.07

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.35
Potential profit: $160.35
User PnL: -$21.22

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.53
Potential profit: $147.53
User PnL: -$48.63

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 77.4%
Current value: $101.65
Potential payout: $131.41
Potential profit: $29.76
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$10.84

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$5.88

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $110.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$55.44

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.43
Potential profit: $105.43
User PnL: -$44.28

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 64.6%
Current value: $50.78
Potential payout: $78.59
Potential profit: $27.81
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $57.78
Potential payout: $57.78
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $41.02

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 35.4%
Current value: $18.23
Potential payout: $51.54
Potential profit: $33.31
Multiplier: 2.83x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.96
Potential profit: $45.96
User PnL: -$6.69

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 68.4%
Current value: $21.19
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $9.81
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.51

No position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.66
Potential payout: $13.67
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $10.69
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $663.7

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.56

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.94

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.73

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.39

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.25

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.77

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.15

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.26

No position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.93

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.14

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.28

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.82

No position

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.22

No position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.29

No position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

No position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

No position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.56

No position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 57% 17.78 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 57% 7.25 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66.2% 3 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66.2% 27.79 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.9% 28.65 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66.2% 27.79 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.9% 28.65 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66.2% 27.79 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.9% 28.65 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 49.48 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66.2% 27.79 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.9% 28.65 shares