No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $40.36
- Potential payout
- $42.74
- Potential profit
- $2.37
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Polymarket Trader
Killero
0x9bcff7b4309c121589bb4516fcbb867d14bc3882
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.3
- Realized PnL
- $20.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $3.3
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.02
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
No position
Did Kanye sell his twitter account?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Scorigami in NFL Week 7?
Ends Oct 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Hubert Hurkacz position
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderi
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Texans position
Texans vs. Jaguars
Ends Sep 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Zsombor Piros position
Madrid: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Zsombor Piros
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Riddle position
Valorant: WEC C vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Trump send the national guard to San Francisco?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Ground Zero position
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #3 Playoffs
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 42.74 shares
- Will Amazon acquire TikTok?No 96.9% 3.07 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Yes 89% 8.88 shares
- Will Meta acquire TikTok?No 97.1% 2.1 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 71% 3.03 shares
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 99.4% 4.11 shares
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 99.3% 4.29 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 13?No 93.8% 8.24 shares
- Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 99.5% 5.07 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 32% 6.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 13?No 96.1% 6.24 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 13?No 91% 5.49 shares