Polymarket Trader

donglai66

@donglai6666

0x9bdb831c23e1fc7d5145d837c1462b61970ea90d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $20.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.67K
Potential profit: $34.67K
User PnL: -$1.64K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.44K
Potential profit: $16.44K
User PnL: -$65.78

No position

Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.35K
Potential profit: $11.35K
User PnL: -$258.74

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.23K
Potential profit: $11.23K
User PnL: -$50.49

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $11.11K
User PnL: -$11.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.78K
Potential profit: $10.78K
User PnL: -$10.78

Yes position

Will October 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.62K
Potential profit: $10.62K
User PnL: -$51.24

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.48K
Potential profit: $9.48K
User PnL: -$170.38

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 14?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43K
Potential profit: $9.43K
User PnL: -$13.49

No position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.1K
Potential profit: $9.1K
User PnL: -$40.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$10.96

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.83K
Potential profit: $6.83K
User PnL: -$211.9

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82K
Potential profit: $6.82K
User PnL: -$963.25

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.79K
Potential profit: $6.79K
User PnL: -$108.88

No position

House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.72K
Potential profit: $6.72K
User PnL: -$147.03

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$112.89

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45K
Potential profit: $6.45K
User PnL: -$685.46

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28?

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.84K
Potential profit: $5.84K
User PnL: -$12.76

No position

Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.56K
User PnL: -$323.3

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.56K
User PnL: -$98.24

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.29K
Potential profit: $5.29K
User PnL: -$191.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.22K
Potential profit: $5.22K
User PnL: -$193.21

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 15?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will October 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99K
Potential profit: $4.99K
User PnL: -$32.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12K

Wisconsin Badgers position

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Cal State Fullerton Titans position

Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. California-San Diego Tritons

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $922.72

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $860.36

Kings position

Rockets vs. Kings

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.77

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Cavaliers

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $809.02

No position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.83

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $741.61

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $711.41

No position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $702.84

North Alabama Lions position

North Alabama Lions vs. San Francisco Dons

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $661.11

Missouri Tigers position

Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598.64

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112K on August 25 at 4PM ET?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $595.22

Kings position

Lakers vs. Kings

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $591.43

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Warriors

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $541.63

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $4,200 October 6-12?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525

Texas Longhorns position

Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.97

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $519.87

Suns position

Thunder vs. Suns

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $498.15

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $4,100 October 6-12?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.32

UC Davis Aggies position

UC Davis Aggies vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 850 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 14.9% 16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 6.9% 752.27 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Veronika Podrez

Veronika Podrez 15% 250 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Caroline Werner vs Alina Charaeva

Caroline Werner 49% 81.18 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mai Hontama

Mai Hontama 5.7% 171.64 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Henry Searle

Henry Searle 11% 370 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Andrea Guerrieri vs Kyrian Jacquet

Andrea Guerrieri 20% 400 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Matej Dodig

Matej Dodig 22% 450 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mai Hontama

Mai Hontama 12.1% 636.52 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Lina Gjorcheska

Lina Gjorcheska 80% 100 shares
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Lucia Bronzetti

Justina Mikulskyte 6% 349 shares