Polymarket Trader

jxsf

0x9be9889b723b32bfc8398039d875549746217017

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $256.02
Realized PnL: $5.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $82.12
Potential payout: $83.08
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $55.56
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $4.44
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $52.06
Potential payout: $52.3
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $39.38
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $11.08
Potential payout: $30.37
Potential profit: $19.28
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $4.84

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.99

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $16.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.2
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.4
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $17.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.4
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $8.55
Potential payout: $15.01
Potential profit: $6.45
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $2.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $593.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $247.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $204.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $194.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 20?

Yes 20% 17 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 20?

Yes 40% 6.18 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 20?

Yes 22% 12 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 20?

Yes 23% 49.99 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 21?

No 82% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 20?

Yes 41% 60 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 20?

No 87.1% 5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 21?

No 96.7% 52.3 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 19?

No 97% 77 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 19?

Yes 94% 64.33 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 19?

Yes 7% 30.39 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 19?

Yes 98% 118.57 shares