Polymarket Trader

guvnuh

0x9becdd0bc865aa3a68fd96d0b13ca072ff4df7b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $720.52
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $379.51
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $228

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $150.5
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $549.49
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$28.8

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 27.7%
Current value: $138.49
Potential payout: $499.96
Potential profit: $361.47
Multiplier: 3.61x
User PnL: $36.3

Yes position

Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $423.64
Potential profit: $423.43
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57K

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.78

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $239.15

Yes position

Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $235.58

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $233.67

No position

Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $223.22

No position

Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.34

Yes position

Will the New York Mets win the World Series?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $163.41

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.7%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $155.14

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $127.01

Yes position

Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $89.99

Yes position

Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.73

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.09

Yes position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.79

Yes position

Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.57

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 1PM ET

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

$2 first position

Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.54

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.58

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.3

Yes position

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.76

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.4

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.6

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 48% 105.1 shares
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 10% 345.67 shares
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

No 51% 380.95 shares
Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title?

Yes 1.3% 176.36 shares
Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title?

Yes 3.5% 243.28 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in March?

No 45% 25.9 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?

Yes 1.9% 1,459.92 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?

Yes 3% 200 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?

Yes 2.9% 61.66 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?

Yes 2.9% 61.65 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?

Yes 8.4% 572 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in February?

Yes 13% 159 shares