No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $190.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $81.39
Polymarket Trader
KasaneTeto
0x9bfd5952a32d4c8acb959c695f740e2eb1b687f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.69K
- Realized PnL
- $5.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $994.26
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $98.33
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $394.26
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $412.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $32.5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $329.54
- Potential payout
- $344.53
- Potential profit
- $14.99
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $29.8
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.65
- Potential profit
- $141.65
- User PnL
- -$65.16
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $92.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $7.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
US recognize Somaliland by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $42.3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $49.83
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $24.7
- Potential profit
- $22.25
- Multiplier
- 10.10x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.87
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $692.5
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.93
No position
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.7
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.89
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.5
No position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.66
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $231.58
Yes position
Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Georgia rally on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.27
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.7
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.04
No position
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.29
Yes position
Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.93
No position
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.01
Yes position
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.17
No position
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.06
No position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.76
No position
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.98
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.43
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.47
Yes position
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 60% 166.67 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 2,500 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 54% 925.93 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 93% 569.89 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?No 87% 344.53 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.9% 1,597.44 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes 93% 537.65 shares
- Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?Yes 33% 30.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown 99% 5.61 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp 14% 4.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown 89% 5.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp 22% 4.55 shares