Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $44.64
- Potential payout
- $6.87K
- Potential profit
- $6.82K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $15.29
Polymarket Trader
0x9c123ff59eCEf0c2bcccc256830F19f2F4b8b99E-1767694797172
0x9c123ff59ecef0c2bcccc256830f19f2f4b8b99e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $895.38
- Realized PnL
- $946.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $132.81
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$117.19
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $555.56
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $350
- User PnL
- -$19.95
Yes position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $309.85
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$46.35
No position
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.58
- Potential profit
- $302.58
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $127.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $172.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $264.32
- Potential profit
- $264.32
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.87
- Potential profit
- $231.87
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $210.45
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $19.55
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $19.35
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $196.04
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$4.31
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $175
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $18.09
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $161.91
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$12.51
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $7.73
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $148.52
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$12.27
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $50.03
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $24.37
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.93
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$40.43
No position
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $82.99
- Potential payout
- $141.87
- Potential profit
- $58.88
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $57.99
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $116.9
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $23.1
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.71
- Potential profit
- $120.71
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
GTA VI released before November 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $108
- Potential profit
- $105.03
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
No position
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $37.43
- Potential payout
- $102.54
- Potential profit
- $65.11
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $16.43
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $5.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.35
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.08
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.29
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.52
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.99
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Down position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
No position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.56
Yes position
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.31
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.16
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.72
Yes position
Will Vance say "Nuclear" during his Rocky Mount visit?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.2
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.89
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.6
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 180 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 150 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.7% 210 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?No 25% 40 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events in Rockland County?No 24.9% 40.24 shares
- Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?No 11.9% 67.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?No 11% 63.64 shares
- Will Trump's remarks not air?Yes 2.2% 231.87 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?No 10.9% 55 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?No 9.6% 62.47 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?No 12.5% 56.15 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?No 12.9% 54.29 shares