Polymarket Trader

deah12

@tonyzhu_trade

0x9c1648834ee717cb967d32a31d7b9cf9534ea981

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.55K
Realized PnL: $90.16K
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$300

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.6K
Potential profit: $46.6K
User PnL: -$5.83K

Yakult Brothers position

Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.65K
Potential profit: $35.65K
User PnL: -$14.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$11.6K

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.92K
Potential profit: $29.92K
User PnL: -$21.55K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $10.85K
Potential payout: $11.6K
Potential profit: $748.1
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $833.3

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.5K
Potential profit: $11.5K
User PnL: -$8.11K

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $11K
Potential profit: $9.95K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.36K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $8.75K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$828.71

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $905
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $105

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$780

Yes position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.59
Potential profit: $39.59
User PnL: -$22.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.11K

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.91K

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.13K

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27K

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15K

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.13K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79K

Heroic position

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95K

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.05K

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $904.91

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.22

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.21

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.91

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.12

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.85

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40.45

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.31

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$130

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$200.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

BetBoom Team 71.7% 6,537.42 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 30% 975.1 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 78% 5 shares
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 76% 109.36 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 31% 36.39 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Yes 43% 4,175.59 shares
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs

Yakult Brothers 43% 9,300 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner

Xtreme Gaming 0.1% 25,850.36 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner

Xtreme Gaming 6% 95.5 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner

Xtreme Gaming 24.7% 3,832.07 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 100,000 shares
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

No 65% 2,694.01 shares