Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $349.26
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $988.89
- Multiplier
- 3.83x
- User PnL
- $323.83
Polymarket Trader
Stingyowl
0x9c19dc76d51f6a627bd12dec9043458eb291ea4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $384.77
- Realized PnL
- $329.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $21.24
- Potential payout
- $944.16
- Potential profit
- $922.92
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$15.95
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $3.82
- Potential payout
- $305.78
- Potential profit
- $301.96
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.29
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.76
- Potential profit
- $51.76
- User PnL
- -$4.14
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $44.51
- Potential profit
- $35.07
- Multiplier
- 4.72x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $39.25
- Potential profit
- $39.23
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.6
- Potential profit
- $34.6
- User PnL
- -$6.23
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $12.6
- Potential profit
- $11.61
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.26
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Spirit position
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.75
LGD Gaming position
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.28
100 Thieves position
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.93
LGD Gaming position
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.25
Detroit Tigers position
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
LGD Gaming position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.51
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.99
Detroit Tigers position
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.84
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
Over position
Jodar vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
LOUD position
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
LGD Gaming position
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.81
SaD Esports position
Valorant: SaD Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.13
Conviction position
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.61
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
MIBR position
Valorant: MIBR vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
Nightblood Gaming position
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Dynamo Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
NRG position
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Under position
Mensik vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 36.5
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
PARIVISION position
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2% 62.48 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1.9% 121.65 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2% 121.65 shares