Polymarket Trader

fir3ba11

0x9c1f692e614c9e46ae87fd24b486c8a0b73c20c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $214.61
Realized PnL: $6.38K
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $62.18
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $49.98
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.6%
Current value: $32.89
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $19.61
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$16.99

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $50.14
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $19.44
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Red Sox position

Mets vs. Red Sox

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Diamondbacks position

Giants vs. Diamondbacks

Ends Jul 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Braves position

Braves vs. Phillies

Ends Jun 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

Diamondbacks position

Diamondbacks vs. Braves

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Orioles position

Cardinals vs. Orioles

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Capitals position

Hurricanes vs. Capitals

Ends May 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Titans position

Titans vs. Falcons

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.25

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.44

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 94.8%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Solana Up or Down on August 21?

Ends Aug 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$550

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 99.2% 20.16 shares
Titans vs. Falcons

Titans 59% 525 shares
Solana Up or Down on July 29?

Up 50% 1,300 shares
Mets vs. Red Sox

Red Sox 43% 30 shares
Hurricanes vs. Capitals

Capitals 44% 1,800 shares