Polymarket Trader

Y4n4pol

0x9c22fc6a3865e1749d7ba7c2a5c46d26e69c444c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.68K
Realized PnL: $8.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $560.8
Potential payout: $574
Potential profit: $13.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $21.24

No position

Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $480
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $20
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $320.12
Potential profit: $313.56
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$5.92

No position

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $253.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $89.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $280.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$18.65

No position

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $185.71
Potential payout: $215.94
Potential profit: $30.23
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $43.36

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $93
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $107
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$41

No position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $51
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $148.99
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$41.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.72
Potential profit: $68.72
User PnL: -$49.88

No position

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $27.52
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $15.48
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $7.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

1,350+ Measles cases in U.S. before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940.07

Yes position

1,425+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $569.13

Yes position

1,475+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $546.55

Yes position

Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.31

No position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $517.4

Yes position

Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.01

Yes position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $474.11

Yes position

Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.9

No position

Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.22

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.34

Yes position

Will there be at least 1450 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $253.64

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.57

Yes position

1,550+ Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.55

Yes position

1,600+ Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.88

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.38

No position

Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.99

Yes position

Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.21

No position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.89

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.41

No position

Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.04

Yes position

Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.16

Yes position

Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.84

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?

Yes 13.9% 100 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?

Yes 12.5% 500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 64% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 81% 100 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Yes 50.1% 200 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 57% 40 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 70% 100 shares
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

No 88% 500 shares
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Yes 38% 26.17 shares
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Yes 40% 37 shares
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Yes 47.4% 415.63 shares
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?

Yes 38.1% 440.41 shares