Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
0x9c2a...7678
0x9c2a5f2cff8f14142034aed312c4782a3ea47678
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $22.62
- Realized PnL
- $346.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320.51
- Potential profit
- $320.51
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.74
- Potential profit
- $231.74
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $180.64
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $109.61
- Potential profit
- $106.6
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.17
- Potential profit
- $85.17
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.7
- Potential profit
- $79.7
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $65.77
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $59.72
- Potential profit
- $56.5
- Multiplier
- 18.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.79
- Potential profit
- $50.79
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $49.8
- Potential profit
- $48.13
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$12.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.09
- Potential profit
- $49.09
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $46.93
- Potential profit
- $45.96
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.81
- Potential profit
- $43.81
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $5.79
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $37.07
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $31.84
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.37
Yes position
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.24
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.53
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.65
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.29
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.84
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
N
No position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.79
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Under position
Fonseca vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 99.6% 27.82 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 99.6% 0.24 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 93.8% 2.13 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 87.5% 2.29 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 70.2% 2.85 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 66.6% 3 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 67.9% 2.95 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 69.9% 2.86 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 71% 2.82 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 71% 2.82 shares