Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $86.75
- Potential payout
- $194.94
- Potential profit
- $108.19
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$14.62
Polymarket Trader
xfm-2-5
0x9c37a3104b5a543ce0387a91b8d4acea3b31ad7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.75
- Realized PnL
- $192.3
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.6
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.4
Yes position
Will Meta (META) finish week of February 9 above $610?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- -$43.14
Yes position
Ledger IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$107.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 52% 194.94 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?No 33% 280 shares
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes 33% 270 shares
- Ledger IPO before 2027?Yes 73% 290 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 75.4% 280 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 90.9% 49 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 90.8% 200 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 90.7% 31.26 shares
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 end of February?Yes 89% 290 shares
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 end of February?Yes 89% 290 shares
- Will Meta (META) finish week of February 9 above $610?Yes 96% 180 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?No 35% 140 shares