Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $20.46
- Potential payout
- $498.95
- Potential profit
- $478.49
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Polymarket Trader
Lefernix
0x9c399f04e0731e2149fe57b203c7f0ad64fc7fbd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.18
- Realized PnL
- $533.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $249.16
- Potential profit
- $244.68
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$14.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $204.76
- Potential profit
- $198.52
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $22.49
- Potential payout
- $136.31
- Potential profit
- $113.82
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $9.65
- Potential payout
- $64.11
- Potential profit
- $54.46
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $9.77
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $12.06
- Potential profit
- $7.06
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $11.67
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $3.82
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.92
Under position
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.55
No position
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.98
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.98
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Over position
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.34
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.08
Leandro Riedi position
Valencia: Juan Carlos Prado vs Leandro Riedi
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.83
Washington Nationals position
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Minnesota Twins position
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
Andrey Rublev position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.65
Martin Landaluce position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.14
Susan Bandecchi position
Parma: Priscilla Hon vs Susan Bandecchi
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91
Gujarat Titans position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38
magic position
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?Yes 7.7% 140.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 3?Yes 19% 5.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?Yes 16.4% 49.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?Yes 20% 122.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?Yes 18% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 3?Yes 18% 16.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?Yes 3.9% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?Yes 3.7% 28.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?Yes 3.7% 28.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?Yes 3.9% 26.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?Yes 3.9% 26.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 3?Yes 6.1% 71.43 shares