Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $3.38K
- User PnL
- -$413.57
Polymarket Trader
CrushingIt
0x9c538cb72506af6d0d6636c135b20542723b44f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.09
- Realized PnL
- $22.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- User PnL
- -$5.83
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 1PM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$434.89
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$521.33
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$63.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$268.95
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$501.05
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7PM ET
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $635.02
- Potential profit
- $635.02
- User PnL
- -$20.35
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 3PM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $565.04
- Potential profit
- $565.04
- User PnL
- -$57.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 10AM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $442.77
- Potential profit
- $442.77
- User PnL
- -$18.93
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $381.9
- Potential profit
- $381.9
- User PnL
- -$19.86
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3PM ET
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.12
- Potential profit
- $335.12
- User PnL
- -$75.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.53
- Potential profit
- $299.53
- User PnL
- -$99.35
No position
Will David Ellison attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $290.6
- Potential profit
- $290.6
- User PnL
- -$124.84
Yes position
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.22
- Potential profit
- $111.22
- User PnL
- -$41.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $97
- User PnL
- -$9.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $33.09
- Potential payout
- $56.08
- Potential profit
- $22.99
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $7.85
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Ansem position
Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will the AP call the election on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $993.45
No position
Daniel Penny found guilty?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.56
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $799.25
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 12PM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $794.33
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 2PM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $784.99
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $757.27
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $661.11
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $639.73
Yes position
Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?
Ends Feb 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.99
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $585.51
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.93
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 8AM ET
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $549.69
Yes position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $546.96
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.02
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.89
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Dec 20-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $520.89
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $499.83
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?No 45% 6.08 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 58.1% 250 shares
- Chirayu Rana sued?Yes 85% 67.99 shares
- Chirayu Rana sued?Yes 85% 425 shares
- Chirayu Rana sued?Yes 79% 30 shares
- Chirayu Rana sued?Yes 79% 259 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown 29% 94.89 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 16% 2,211.24 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 4.1% 1,548.68 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 43% 387.61 shares
- Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 53.8% 20 shares
- Will David Ellison attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No 1% 111.47 shares