Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $374.82
- Potential profit
- $373.88
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$108.66
Polymarket Trader
kirasam
0x9c5dcccf5c4dededf1692e2dd773bfa0a1294629
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.75
- Realized PnL
- $455.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $145.58
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$40.58
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $52.07
- Potential payout
- $82
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $12.07
No position
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $40.91
- Potential payout
- $44.54
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Critical Discord Incident by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $31.4
- Potential payout
- $33.58
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.6
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.54
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.24
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.63
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.26
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.15
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.88
No position
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
Yes position
Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.68
No position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.79
No position
Will Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
Yes position
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
No position
OpenAI social app before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 34% 87.06 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 20.1% 149.25 shares
- Critical Discord Incident by June 30?No 89.3% 33.58 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 48.8% 82 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89.8% 44.54 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 96.3% 90.9 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 36.1% 138.5 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 2.1% 403.62 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 55% 90.91 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes 99.9% 57.69 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 24.8% 403.63 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 89% 128.2 shares